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Allianz Mortgage Services NMLS346138/BRE01403147
Loan Advisor
Jonathan Caguioa
Loan Advisor
Allianz Mortgage Services NMLS346138/BRE01403147
NMLS#: 250609 / BRE 01137630
Phone: 949-241-2527
Rates At a Glance
Mortgage Rates
Currently Trending
Today's Mortgage
Rate Forecast
Today's Potential
Rate Volatility




(by Sigma Research)
Today's Mortgage Rate Summary

How Rates Move:

Conventional and Government (FHA and VA) lenders set their rates based on the pricing of Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) which are traded in real time, all day in the bond market.  This means rates or loan fees (mortgage pricing) moves throughout the day, being affected by a variety of economic or political events.  When MBS pricing goes up, mortgage rates or pricing generally goes down.  When they fall, mortgage pricing goes up.  Tracking these securities real-time is critical.  For more information about the rate market, contact me directly.  I’m among few mortgage professionals who have access to live trading screens during market hours.

Rates Currently Trending: Neutral

Mortgage rates are moving sideways so far today.  The MBS market worsened by -2 bps yesterday. This caused rates or fees to remain unchanged for the day. The rates experienced moderate volatility yesterday.

Today's Rate Forecast: Neutral

Leading Indicators: The September data set fell by -0.1% vs. est of 0.0%.

The Fed: Today, we get Robert Kaplan, Esther George, Neel Kashkari, and Richard Clarida.

Trade War: The new US tariffs on $7.5B of European goods have just kicked in, and Cheese, wine, olives, and many other European goods will be subject to a price hike.

China: Retail Sales 7.8% vs est of 7.8%, Industrial Production 5.8% vs est of 5.0%, GDP Q3 YOY 6.0% vs est of 6.1%. Even though that is three times the rate of US growth, it is the lowest growth rate for China since 1992.

Today's Potential Rate Volatility: Low

Rates are once again moving sideways for the day. This has been the case for most of the week. Rates are likely to move sideways for the rest of the day, heading into the weekend. The Brexit vote will happen this weekend and will play a big roll in how rates react Monday. If a deal gets approved, we're likely to see rates jump. If the agreement is squashed, all else being equal, we're likely to see rates dip.

Bottom Line:

If you are looking for the risks and benefits of locking your interest rate in today or floating your loan rate, contact your mortgage professional to discuss it with them.

About Jonathan Caguioa

Jonathan has been a lender since 1992 and has helped hundreds of families achieve home ownership and home retention by providing mortgage planning and solutions to fit their needs and goals.

About This Report And Disclosure Information

All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.